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minor parties gain as Labour and National slide
WORLD

minor parties gain as Labour and National slide

Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of MelbourneSeptember 29, 2026September 29, 2026

Six weeks out from the November 7 election, the latest 1News Verian poll (conducted September…

Coalition retains clear lead in Victorian Resolve poll, while federal polls are mixed
WORLD

Coalition retains clear lead in Victorian Resolve poll, while federal polls are mixed

Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of MelbourneSeptember 15, 2026September 15, 2026

Two and a half months before the November 28 Victorian state election, a Resolve poll…

Total support for right-wing parties rises in Newspoll before Secret Harbour byelection
WORLD

Total support for right-wing parties rises in Newspoll before Secret Harbour byelection

Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of MelbourneAugust 31, 2026August 31, 2026

Both the Newspoll and Redbridge polls were entirely conducted before Saturday’s Western Australian Secret Harbour…

One Nation thumps Labor to gain WA state seat of Secret Harbour at byelection
WORLD

One Nation thumps Labor to gain WA state seat of Secret Harbour at byelection

Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of MelbourneAugust 30, 2026August 30, 2026

With nearly all votes counted in Saturday’s Western Australian state byelection for Secret Harbour, the…

Victorian polls have Coalition leading Labor by narrow to large margins
WORLD

Victorian polls have Coalition leading Labor by narrow to large margins

Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of MelbourneAugust 21, 2026August 21, 2026

It’s about three months until the Victorian state election on November 28. Five polls have…

Morgan poll has One Nation surging at Coalition’s expense; Trump’s net approval in negative double digits
WORLD

Morgan poll has One Nation surging at Coalition’s expense; Trump’s net approval in negative double digits

Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of MelbourneJanuary 21, 2026January 21, 2026

One Nation continues to surge after the Bondi terror attack, as a Morgan poll has…

Greens may be a problem for Labor in next week’s Tasmanian no-confidence vote
WORLD

Greens may be a problem for Labor in next week’s Tasmanian no-confidence vote

Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of MelbourneAugust 15, 2025August 15, 2025

The Liberals won 14 of the 35 lower house seats at the July 19 Tasmanian…

Newspoll shows Labor’s lead steady at 52–48
WORLD

Newspoll shows Labor’s lead steady at 52–48

Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of MelbourneApril 27, 2025April 27, 2025

While last week’s Morgan and YouGov polls had Labor continuing its surge, Newspoll is steady…

Labor’s poll surge continues in YouGov, but it’s barely ahead in Freshwater
WORLD

Labor’s poll surge continues in YouGov, but it’s barely ahead in Freshwater

Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of MelbourneApril 18, 2025April 18, 2025

Labor increased its lead again in a YouGov poll, but Freshwater put the party ahead…

Labor gains lead in post-budget Newspoll; would be one seat short of majority in YouGov MRP poll
WORLD

Labor gains lead in post-budget Newspoll; would be one seat short of majority in YouGov MRP poll

Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of MelbourneMarch 30, 2025March 30, 2025

Labor’s regaining of polling momentum has continued into the first week of the formal election…

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