66% of voters say the threat of violence against political leaders and their families is a major problem in the country Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand Americans’ views of the 2024 presidential election campaign. For this analysis, we surveyed 5,110 adults – including 4,025 registered voters – from Sept. 30 to Oct. 6, 2024. Everyone who took part in this survey is a member of the Center’s American Trends Panel (ATP), a group of people recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses who have agreed to take surveys regularly. This kind of recruitment gives nearly all…
Author: Reem Nadeem
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With just weeks until Election Day, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are in a dead heat among all registered voters: 48% say they would vote for Harris if the election were held today and 47% say they would support Trump. Another 5% of voters opt for a third-party candidate. A large majority of voters (82%) say they are certain they support Harris or Trump in the election. A much smaller share say they might change their mind about who to support – or only lean toward either of the two major party candidates when asked in…
Voters overall are divided in their predictions about how Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump would perform as president – with negative expectations outweighing positive ones for both candidates. And while majorities of voters see both Trump and Harris as bringing change to Washington – though more say this about Trump than Harris – they are also split over whether that change would have positive or negative effects. Would Trump and Harris be above or below average presidents? Voters are more likely to say each of the presidential candidates would be poor or terrible presidents than to…
With less than a month to go until Election Day, voters continue to express mostly negative opinions about the 2024 presidential campaign. Reflecting the closeness of the presidential race, the share of voters who think it is clear which candidate will win – which was already low in July – has edged lower. Harris and Trump supporters differ in their views of the importance of their candidate conceding if they lose, and they have sharply different expectations for how their candidate might handle a defeat. Following two assassination attempts against former President Donald Trump, there are widespread concerns about political…
The American Trends Panel survey methodology Overview Data in this report comes from Wave 156 of the American Trends Panel (ATP), Pew Research Center’s nationally representative panel of randomly selected U.S. adults. The survey was conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 6, 2024. A total of 5,110 panelists responded out of 5,689 who were sampled, for a survey-level response rate of 90%. The cumulative response rate accounting for nonresponse to the recruitment surveys and attrition is 3%. The break-off rate among panelists who logged on to the survey and completed at least one item is 1%. The margin of sampling…
What if they win? Harris and Trump supporters differ over the acceptability of presidential actions by their own candidate (Allison Joyce/AFP via Getty Images; Tierney L. Cross/Getty Images) Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand Americans’ views of the 2024 presidential election campaign. For this analysis, we surveyed 9,720 adults – including 8,044 registered voters – from Aug. 26 to Sept. 2, 2024. Everyone who took part in this survey is a member of the Center’s American Trends Panel (ATP), a group of people recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses who have agreed to take surveys regularly.…
Following Robert F. Kennedy’s recent exit from the presidential race, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are tied among registered voters at 49% each. Harris and Trump also remain at near parity in strength of support, with about six-in-ten of each candidate’s supporters backing them strongly. Harris backers continue to support her more strongly than Biden’s did earlier this year. Most voters also indicate they have made up their mind about which candidate they will support, with at least eight-in-ten Harris and Trump supporters saying they are certain they’ll support their preferred candidate. Voting preferences among demographic…
Majorities of both Harris and Trump supporters say that, if elected, it would be acceptable for the candidate they support to use executive orders to make policies when they can’t get their priorities through Congress. But supporters of each candidate overwhelmingly reject the potential use of executive orders by the opposing candidate in this way. On other expansive uses of presidential power that have come up at points during the campaign, there are notable distinctions between Harris and Trump supporters. Substantial shares of Trump supporters say they would accept certain actions from a future President Donald Trump, even as far…
Most supporters of both former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris say they’ve thought a lot about the candidates this year and say the outcome of the race really matters. As in other recent elections, the two coalitions are roughly equally engaged and interested. And satisfaction with the field is much higher than it was a few months ago – as Harris’ backers are now much more likely to say they are satisfied than President Joe Biden’s supporters were in July. Nearly two-thirds of voters (64%) say they have given a lot of thought to the candidates who…
Americans’ views of the nation’s economy remain largely negative. And U.S. adults continue to express concern over the price of food and consumer goods and increasing worries about housing prices and the availability of jobs. A quarter rate economic conditions as excellent or good, while 37% say they are only fair and 38% rate conditions as poor. Views of the economy have fluctuated only modestly in the past year. In May, for example, 23% expressed positive views of the economy. Economic ratings remain partisan. About four-in-ten Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents (41%) rate economic conditions positively, up slightly from May (37%).…