The rapid pace of unfolding events between Israel and the Palestinians, and more broadly in the Middle East, can make people think change is inevitable. Political scientists like me sometimes see significant and disruptive events, such as the Hamas attack on Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, and their aftermath as drivers of heightened uncertainty with the potential to drive broader change. But in the year since then, not much has changed. Relatively stable status quo on Oct. 6 Throughout the early part of 2023, the relationship between Israel and the Palestinians and the broader region seemed generally stable. In September…
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